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今年は異常? 大雨の北海道

最近、何度も大雨となっている北海道。 北海道内で日降水量が100ミリを超えた日が、13日(月)から20日(月)までで4回もあり、2日に一回のペースで大雨に見舞われています。 梅雨のない北海道では、6月は降水量の少ない時期になりますが、今年はかなり様子が違います。 ●10数年に一度の大雨 北海道にアメダスの観測網が整備された1978年以降のデータでみると、6月に道内で100ミリ以上の雨が4回も観測されたのは、今年を含めて3度しかなく、今年は10数年に一度レベルの記録的に大雨の多い6月となっています。 ●大雨の原因は高気圧? この大雨の原因は何なのでしょうか? カギを握るのは「高気圧」です。 高気圧と聞くと、晴れるイメージがあるかと思いますが、 今回の大雨をもたらした一番大きな原因は高気圧の勢力が普段よりも強まったことです。 まず昨年を例にとって普段の6月の様子を見ていきます。 6月というと本州が梅雨に入り、本州付近の梅雨前線が海上も含めて東西に長くのびています。 この状態ですと、梅雨前線で空気の流れが止められることになり、日本の南から送られる暖かく湿った空気は前線までしか届かず、北海道に入ってきません。 ●今年は前線が分断 しかし、今年は北海道付近の高気圧の勢力が強く、南に大きく張り出している影響で、 日本の東で前線が分断されてしまっています。 そのため、空気の流れが止まらず、暖かい日本のはるか南の海上から普段よりも水蒸気を多く含んだ湿った空気が、どんどん北海道に流れ込んでいるのです。 この暖かく湿った空気が入っている状態で、低気圧が近づくなどのきっかけがあると、一気に雨雲が発達し、大雨をもたらすのです。 ●今後も雨の降り方に注意 この高気圧の影響はすぐに解消することはなさそうで、今後も低気圧の接近などで再びの大雨となる恐れがあります。 湿った空気が同じ方向から流れてくるため、大雨になりやすい場所もあまり変わらず、同じような地域で大雨が繰り返される可能性が高くなります。 大雨の影響が残る中で雨が降ると、普段よりも災害が発生しやすくなるため、いつも以上に今後の雨には注意が必要です。

たくさんのご来場、
ありがとうございました。

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