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エルニーニョ現象 夏まで発生しない可能性高い

日本の天候に影響を与えるエルニーニョ現象・ラニーニャ現象。2月現在、いずれも発生しておらず、平常の状態となっています。この後も夏にかけて、平常の状態が続く可能性が高くなっています。 ●2月の実況 気象庁は10日、エルニーニョ監視速報を発表しました。 2月のエルニーニョ監視海域の海面水温の基準値との差は0.0℃で基準値に近い値となりました。 太平洋赤道域の海面水温は、日付変更線付近を中心に平年より高く、東部で平年並となりました。海洋表層の水温は中部で平年より高くなりました。 太平洋赤道域の日付変更線付近の対流活動は平年より活発になりましたが、中部の大気下層の東風(貿易風)は平年並でした。 このような海洋と大気の状態は、エルニーニョ現象もラニーニャ現象も発生していない平常の状態となっていることを示しています。 ●今後の見通し...

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